The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55.7%
Draw 24.1%
Gamba Osaka 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.3%
22.6%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
24.4%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 35.9% – 97.5%.
1. Osako K. (G) 3. Yamasaki T. 4. Araki H. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. (C) 14. Matsumoto T. 13. Arai N. 39. Nakamura S. 10. Suzuki A. 17. Kinoshita K.
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 5. Miura G. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 27. Mito R. 44. Okunuki K. 10. Kurata S. 8. Meshino R. 23. Hummet D.
Substitutes
9. Germain R. 11. Kato M. 41. Maeda N. 40. Ohara M. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 19. Sasaki S. 16. Shichi T. 33. Shiotani T. 18. Suga D.
18. Araki R. (G) 3. Handa R. 11. Jebali I. 30. Max P. 42. Minamino H. 38. Nawata G. 16. Suzuki T. 97. Welton 17. Yamashita R.
Coaches
Gaul B.
Wissing J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Matsumoto T. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Arai N. ⚽, Kawabe H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matsumoto T. ↓, Shiotani T. ↑,
46', Meshino R. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
49', Abe S. 🟨,
60', Kinoshita K. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
61', Okunuki K. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
61', Abe S. ↓, Welton ↑,
66', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, Nakamura S. ⚽,
70', Suzuki A. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
70', Kawabe H. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
76', Hummet D. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
85', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
86', Kurata S. ↓, Handa R. ↑,
88', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
90', Handa R. 🟨,
90+2', Yamasaki T. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.
Hiroshima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gamba Osaka is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Hiroshima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Injury)
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S.
(Injury)
Ichimori J.
(Injury)
Nakano S.
(Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Injury)
Usami T.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Sasaki S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2:1.1).
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 11.31% Gamba Osaka: 0.79%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
2
2
0
8:2
6
8
12
Gamba Osaka
4
1
2
1
6:7
-1
5
Last Results with these Odds
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.26%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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