Match Info

J1 League - Round 18

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Kawasaki Frontale		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.25	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.75
	2.14	3.36	3.16	Watch
	2.25	3.55	3.27
	2.25	3.38	3.24	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	2.11	3.45	3.47	Watch
	2.16	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.94)	3.44 ↓ (3.56)	3.39 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
44.8%

Draw
27.4%

Gamba Osaka
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.5%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kawasaki Frontale will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 31. van Wermeskerken S. 2. Takai K. 35. Maruyama Y. 5. Sasaki A. 19. Kawahara S. 6. Yamamoto Y. 41. Ienaga A. 14. Wakizaka Y. 23. Marcinho 11. Kobayashi Y.	22. Ichimori J. (G) 3. Handa R. 20. Nakatani S. 2. Fukuoka S. 4. Kurokawa K. 16. Suzuki T. 6. Lavi N. 47. Juan Alano 51. Mitsuta M. 17. Yamashita R. 7. Usami T.
Substitutes
44. Haydar C. 17. Ito T. 1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 38. Kanda S. 16. Ozeki Y. 18. Segawa Y. 8. Tachibanada K. 15. Tanabe S. 20. Yamada S.	24. Egawa Y. 1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 23. Hummet D. 15. Kishimoto T. 10. Kurata S. 42. Minamino H. 33. Nakano S. 38. Nawata G. 97. Welton
Coaches
Hasebe S.	Poyatos D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Marcinho ⚽, Sasaki A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Usami T. ⚽, Kurokawa K. (A),
57', Marcinho ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
57', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
58', Ienaga A. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Yamashita R. ⚽, Usami T. (A),
71', Kawahara S. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
78', Lavi N. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
78', Usami T. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Ito T. ⚽, Ozeki Y. (A),
86', Juan Alano ↓, Welton ↑,
87', Yamashita R. 🟨,
90', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
90', Handa R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
90', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
90+8', Yamada S. 🟨,
90+8', Nakatani S. 🟨,
90+9', Suzuki T. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kawasaki could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel (Hamstring Injury) Kobayashi Y. (Shoulder Injury) Kurumaya S. (Muscle Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Injury)

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Kawasaki: Erison (Injury) Miura S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 2.4:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Kawasaki Frontale - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.64%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
21.05.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:2 ✺
18.05.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.05.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWWLL
- Gamba Osaka
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
17.05.25	Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka	3:2 ✺
11.05.25	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
18.10.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka	1:1
19.05.24	Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	3:1
06.08.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka	3:4
09.04.23	Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0
09.07.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka	4:0
06.03.22	Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	2:2
27.11.21	Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka	4:1

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