Match Info

K League 1 - Round 31

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports
World	K League TV


	Gangwon		Bucheon

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.20	3.70	Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.90
	1.70	3.30	4.35
	2.05	3.34	4.26
	1.68	3.69	5.1	Watch
	2.01	3.25	4.10
	2.03	3.33	3.85	Watch
	1.97	3.20	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.76)	3.3 ↓ (3.53)	4.14 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
48.8%

Draw
28.5%

Bucheon
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gangwon - Bucheon Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Gangwon (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Bucheon (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 1 - 50%). Bucheon (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 88. Hwang Mun-Ki 47. Shin Min-Ha 23. Tuci M. 5. Mammar Chaouche A. 10. Mo Jae-Hyeon 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 4. Seo Min-Woo (C) 7. Kim Dae-Won 96. Choe Byeong-Chan 9. Kim Gun-Hee	1. Kim H. (G) 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 3. Patrick William 20. Hong Sung-Wook 7. Thiaguinho Santos 8. Yoon Bit-Garam 15. Kim Sang-Jun 26. An Tae-Hyun 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 99. Gustavo Nescau 11. Galego
Substitutes
11. Goh Young-Jun 77. Hleihel A. 33. Hong Chul 71. Kang Seong-yun 41. Kim Y. (G) 8. Lee Seung-Won 97. Lee You-Hyeon 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 70. Sekidika J.	29. Baek Dong-Gyu 83. Jo Seong-Jun 14. Kim Jong-Woo 13. Kim Min-Jun 71. Kim Seung-Bin 93. Lee J. 31. Lee Sang-hyeon (G) 9. Park Jeong-In 4. Ye-Geon S.
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Lee Young-Min

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Kim Sang-Jun 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tuci M. ↓, Sekidika J. ↑,
46', Choe Byeong-Chan ↓, Kang Seong-yun ↑,
46', Gustavo Nescau 🟨,
51', Galego 🟨,
61', Kim Dong-Hyun ↓, Lee Seung-Won ↑,
64', Gustavo Nescau ↓, Kim Seung-Bin ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Kim Dae-Won (Penalty Awarded),
75', Patrick William 🟨,
75', An Tae-Hyun ↓, Jo Seong-Jun ↑,
75', Kim Sang-Jun ↓, Kim Jong-Woo ↑,
76', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Lee You-Hyeon ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Kim Gun-Hee ⚽, Mammar Chaouche A. (A),
85', Thiaguinho Santos ↓, Park Jeong-In ↑,
85', Rodrigo Bassani ↓, Kim Min-Jun ↑,
90', Kim Gun-Hee ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
90+1', Park Sang-Hyeok 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 11th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 1.

In recent outings, Gangwon has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bucheon is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Gangwon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bucheon has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Gangwon carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Gangwon has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:18 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gangwon against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gangwon	31	11	13	7	38:28	10	46
11	Bucheon FC 1995	31	7	11	13	31:42	-11	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.26	Gangwon - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Gangwon - Jeju	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.26	Kitchee - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTTT
- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 1
19.09.26	Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Bucheon - Jeju	2:2 ✺
08.09.26	Incheon United - Bucheon	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bucheon - Daejeon Citizen	0:5 ✺
29.08.26	Bucheon - Anyang	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
01.08.26	Gangwon - Bucheon	0:3
18.03.26	Bucheon - Gangwon	0:0
05.11.16	Bucheon - Gangwon	1:2
South Korean K-League 2
05.10.16	Gangwon - Bucheon	0:1
20.08.16	Gangwon - Bucheon	0:2
10.07.16	Bucheon - Gangwon	0:1
16.05.16	Bucheon - Gangwon	3:1

Gangwon - Bucheon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide