Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 34

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Seynaeve A. (Bel)


	Genk U23		Gent U23

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	3.3	Watch
	1.92	3.9	3.25
	1.88	4.1	3.64
	2.18	3.84	2.9	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.4
	1.88	3.74	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.57)	3.86 ↑ (3.73)	3.31 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk U23
48.2%

Draw
23.9%

Gent U23
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

24.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genk U23's performance.

Gent U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gent U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genk U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gent U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Genk U23 - Gent U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Genk U23 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gent U23 will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk U23: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Doucoure E. (G) 2. Pierre K. (C) 73. Mbavu E. 34. Palacios A. 84. Sarfo E. 79. Nzoko D. 65. Akpan C. 86. Haroun K. 67. Camara A. 56. De Wannemacker A. 66. Coenen J.	31. Evers B. (G) 90. Cauwel M. 74. Kongolo T. 71. Blondeel P. (C) 65. Morel B. 77. Vanderdonck G. 67. Soroka O. 73. Sylla A. D. 61. Abdullahi A. 79. Vydysh R. 59. Seck E. H.
Substitutes
78. Achahbar K. 76. Driessen J. 59. Kapers W. 89. Kim M. 22. Manguelle B. 53. Mocsnik M. 75. Ogbeiwi P. 82. Vliegen O. (G) 55. Yoshinaga Y.	60. Buggea S. 81. De Clercq H. 58. Djamba Shango J. 55. Simpore E. 63. Sota T. 97. Toure S. 50. Vanden Borre R. (G) 80. Van Hoorick B. 91. Verlinden A.
Coaches
de Camargo I.	Matton T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Palacios A. 🟨,
22', Morel B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', De Wannemacker A. 🟥,
61', 0 - 1, Kongolo T. ⚽,
75', Seck E. H. ↓, Toure S. ↑,
80', Nzoko D. ↓, Ogbeiwi P. ↑,
80', Coenen J. ↓, Kim M. ↑,
80', Camara A. ↓, Achahbar K. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Achahbar K. ⚽, Kim M. (A),
86', Cauwel M. ↓, Van Hoorick B. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

Recent performances by Genk U23 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gent U23's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Genk U23	6	2	1	3	12:14	-2	7
11	Gent U23	5	1	2	2	6:9	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.04.26	Francs Borains - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Genk U23 - Lokeren	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Genk U23	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Seraing - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Genk U23 - Brugge U23	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTWTT
- AA Gent U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.04.26	Gent U23 - RFC Liège	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Kortrijk - Gent U23	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Gent U23 - Brugge U23	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lokeren - Gent U23	4:1 ✺
11.03.26	Gent U23 - Lommel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
22.11.25	Gent U23 - Genk U23	0:0

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