Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 33

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Robert Urbain (Boussu)

Referee: Jacoby A. (Bel)


	Francs Borains		Genk U23

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.92	3.65	3.45	Watch
	1.88	3.95	3.82
	1.87	4.09	3.53	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.87	3.64	3.84	Watch
	1.86	3.65	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)	3.68 ↓ (3.87)	3.65 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francs Borains
49.6%

Draw
25.1%

Genk U23
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

23.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

23.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francs Borains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francs Borains than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Francs Borains - Genk U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Francs Borains will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Genk U23 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandor Y. (G) 28. Francotte M. 77. Dalle Molle J. 24. Dessoleil D. (C) 23. Malungu L. 26. Hadjem Y. 11. Fixelles M. 8. Mondele L. 29. Bastian M. 10. Ali A. 17. Bruno M.	97. Doucoure E. (G) 65. Akpan C. 22. Manguelle B. (C) 57. Murenzi A. 84. Sarfo E. 86. Haroun K. 56. De Wannemacker A. 79. Nzoko D. 73. Mbavu E. 67. Camara A. 66. Coenen J.
Substitutes
6. Dewaest S. 33. Diliberto N. 83. Kari Y. 25. Lavie C. 14. Lucas Lima 2. Prunier M. 40. Swinnen V. (G) 5. Van Oudenhove J. 7. Wydra P.	78. Achahbar K. 59. Kapers W. 80. Kongolo E. M. 60. Lazar S. E. 53. Mocsnik M. 75. Ogbeiwi P. 82. Vliegen O. (G) 87. Yasuda K. 55. Yoshinaga Y.
Coaches
Vanderhaeghe Y.	de Camargo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Ali A. ⚽, Hadjem Y. (A),
16', Mbavu E. 🟥,
21', Murenzi A. ↓, Kapers W. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Nzoko D. ⚽, Camara A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Malungu L. 🟨,
53', Fixelles M. 🟨,
58', Coenen J. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Ali A. ⚽,
69', Malungu L. 🟥,
71', Hadjem Y. ↓, Lavie C. ↑,
74', Dalle Molle J. 🟨,
77', Nzoko D. ↓, Kongolo E. M. ↑,
77', De Wannemacker A. ↓, Yoshinaga Y. ↑,
78', Bruno M. ↓, Prunier M. ↑,
88', Ali A. ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
88', Fixelles M. ↓, Dewaest S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Sarfo E. ⚽, Coenen J. (A),
90+5', Camara A. ↓, Mocsnik M. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Francs Borains may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Francs Borains might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Francs Borains won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Francs Borains won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	9:7	2	12
10	Genk U23	6	2	1	3	12:14	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francs Borains
Belgian Challenger Pro League
04.04.26	Lierse - Francs Borains	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Francs Borains - Kortrijk	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Lommel - Francs Borains	3:1 ✺
12.03.26	Francs Borains - Lokeren	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Seraing - Francs Borains	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWL
- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.04.26	Genk U23 - Lokeren	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Genk U23	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Seraing - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Genk U23 - Brugge U23	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
18.10.25	Genk U23 - Francs Borains	3:1
20.12.24	Francs Borains - Genk U23	2:2
01.09.24	Genk U23 - Francs Borains	1:2
12.04.24	Genk U23 - Francs Borains	1:1
20.08.23	Francs Borains - Genk U23	2:5

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