What is the expert prediction for Genoa vs Salernitana?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Genoa vs Salernitana. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Genoa vs Salernitana Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, October 27, 2023)

Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 10

Date: 27 October 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Genoa		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.6	5
	1.72	3.7	4.9	Watch
	1.74	3.75	5.3
	1.74	3.75	5.29
	1.7	3.7	5
	1.72	3.74	5.1	Watch
	1.73	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)	3.69 ↑ (3.6)	5.13 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
55.5%

Draw
25.9%

Salernitana
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genoa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salernitana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.8%	5.7%	3.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Genoa will win (79 of 87 users predict this - 90.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.73% – 96.87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez J. (G) 5. Dragusin R. 13. Bani M. 22. Vasquez J. 20. Sabelli S. 32. Frendrup M. 47. Badelj M. (C) 17. Malinovsky R. 3. Martin A. 19. Retegui M. 11. Gudmundsson A.	13. Ochoa G. (G) 66. Lovato M. 23. Gyomber N. 98. Pirola L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 25. Maggiore G. 18. Coulibaly L. 3. Bradaric D. 87. Candreva A. (C) 21. Jovane 10. Dia B.
Substitutes
4. De Winter K. 18. Ekuban C. 40. Fini S. 99. Galdames P. 55. Haps R. 25. Kutlu B. 16. Leali N. (G) 33. Matturro A. 37. Puscas G. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 8. Strootman K. 2. Thorsby M. 14. Vogliacco A.	8. Bohinen E. 11. Botheim E. 28. Bronn D. 56. Costil B. (G) 5. Daniliuc F. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 22. Ikwuemesi C. 20. Kastanos G. 99. Legowski M. 7. Martegani A. 6. Sambia J. 19. Stewart T. 33. Tchaouna L.
Coaches
Gilardino A.	Inzaghi F.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Genoa is a favorite.

There will not play in Genoa: Jagiello F. (Injury) Messias J. (Injury)

There will not play in Salernitana: Ikwuemesi C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: Retegui M. (Injury) Strootman K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Fiorillo V. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Genoa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Genoa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
22.10.23	Atalanta - Genoa	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Genoa - Milan	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Udinese - Genoa	2:2 ✺
28.09.23	Genoa - Roma	4:1 ✺
22.09.23	Lecce - Genoa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTWL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
22.10.23	Salernitana - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Monza - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Salernitana - Inter Milan	0:4 ✺
27.09.23	Empoli - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
13.02.22	Genoa - Salernitana	1:1
Coppa Italia
14.12.21	Genoa - Salernitana	1:0
Italian Serie A
02.10.21	Salernitana - Genoa	1:0

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