Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 9

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV2
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	15:00	CMore Live
United Kingdom	14:00	TNT Sports
International	13:00	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Salernitana		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3.2
	2.38	3.15	3.2	Watch
	2.44	3.15	3.39
	2.44	3.15	3.39
	2.3	3.2	3.2
	2.38	3.2	3.22	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.28 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
40.5%

Draw
30.2%

Cagliari
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

30%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	59.1%	13.6%

Salernitana - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Cagliari will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 59.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Costil B. (G) 30. Mazzocchi P. 17. Fazio F. (C) 23. Gyomber N. 3. Bradaric D. 18. Coulibaly L. 25. Maggiore G. 20. Kastanos G. 87. Candreva A. 21. Jovane 10. Dia B.	22. Scuffet S. (G) 8. Nandez N. 3. Goldaniga E. 4. Dossena A. 27. Augello T. 14. Deiola A. (C) 16. Prati M. 29. Makoumbou A. 5. Mancosu M. 19. Oristanio G. 77. Luvumbo Z.
Substitutes
8. Bohinen E. 5. Daniliuc F. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 22. Ikwuemesi C. 99. Legowski M. 66. Lovato M. 7. Martegani A. 13. Ochoa G. (G) 98. Pirola L. 6. Sambia J. 19. Stewart T. 33. Tchaouna L.	37. Azzi P. 99. Di Pardo A. 31. Iliev V. (G) 21. Jankto J. 9. Lapadula G. 33. Obert A. 30. Pavoletti L. 20. Pereiro G. 32. Petagna A. 1. Radunovic B. (G) 61. Shomurodov E. 25. Sulemana I. 10. Viola N. 23. Wieteska M. 28. Zappa G.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Ranieri C.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Salernitana will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Salernitana: Ikwuemesi C. (Injury)

There will not play in Cagliari: Rog M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Fiorillo V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cagliari: Aresti S. (Injury) Capradossi E. (Calf Injury) Lapadula G. (Ankle Injury) Mancosu M. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
08.10.23	Monza - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Salernitana - Inter Milan	0:4 ✺
27.09.23	Empoli - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
18.09.23	Salernitana - Torino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
08.10.23	Cagliari - Roma	1:4 ✺
02.10.23	Fiorentina - Cagliari	3:0 ✺
27.09.23	Cagliari - Milan	1:3 ✺
24.09.23	Atalanta - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Cagliari - Udinese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.05.22	Salernitana - Cagliari	1:1
26.11.21	Cagliari - Salernitana	1:1
Italian Serie B
14.05.16	Cagliari - Salernitana	3:0
24.12.15	Salernitana - Cagliari	0:2

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