Match Info

Serie A - Round 35

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Starzplay Sports app


	Atalanta		Genoa

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.62	4	5.25
	1.58	3.95	5.9	Watch
	1.61	4.3	6
	1.58	4.12	5.71	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.63	4.3	5.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	4.08 ↑ (4.03)	5.65 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
59.8%

Draw
23.4%

Genoa
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24.1%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	12.1%	3%

Atalanta - Genoa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 69. Ahanor H. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 59. Zalewski N. 17. De Ketelaere C. 9. Scamacca G. 90. Krstovic N.	16. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 77. Ellertsson M. E. 4. Amorim 32. Frendrup M. 20. Sabelli S. 9. Vitinha 21. Ekhator J. 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
5. Bakker M. 16. Bellanova R. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 3. Kossounou O. 6. Musah Y. 8. Pasalic M. 18. Raspadori G. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.	70. Cornet M. 18. Ekuban C. 10. Junior Messias 1. Leali N. (G) 17. Malinovskyi R. 3. Martin A. 73. Masini P. 14. Onana J. 34. Otoa S. 99. Ouedraogo W. L. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 13. Zatterstrom N.
Coaches
Palladino R.	De Rossi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Amorim 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Colombo L. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
57', Scamacca G. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
57', Djimsiti B. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
64', Ederson 🟨,
69', Amorim ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
70', Ekhator J. ↓, Malinovskyi R. ↑,
76', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
76', De Roon M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
78', Krstovic N. 🟨,
85', Zappacosta D. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
86', Vitinha ↓, Masini P. ↑,
86', Sabelli S. ↓, Martin A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 5.

Atalanta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Genoa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atalanta is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: Bernasconi L. (Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Baldanzi T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Genoa: Ekuban C. (Inactive) Norton-Cuffy B. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:19. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.79% Genoa: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
27.04.26	Cagliari - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
22.04.26	Atalanta - Lazio	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
18.04.26	Roma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Lecce - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLW
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
26.04.26	Genoa - Como	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pisa - Genoa	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Genoa - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Juventus - Genoa	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Genoa - Udinese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.12.25	Genoa - Atalanta	0:1
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Atalanta - Genoa	4:0
Italian Serie A
17.05.25	Genoa - Atalanta	2:3
05.10.24	Atalanta - Genoa	5:1
11.02.24	Genoa - Atalanta	1:4
22.10.23	Atalanta - Genoa	2:0
13.03.22	Atalanta - Genoa	0:0

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