Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Germinal		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.65	2.1
	3.9	2.75	2.09
	4.16	2.54	2.12
				Watch
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.89	2.84	2.04
	3.7	2.8	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4.42)	2.76 ↓ (3.1)	2.1 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
24.1%

Draw
32.7%

Sarmiento de La Banda
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

29.4%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

33.3%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de La Banda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Germinal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de La Banda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Germinal - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Fernandez G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.11.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Germinal	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Germinal - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Germinal	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Germinal - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Germinal - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WTLWT
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.11.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:3 ✺
06.10.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTWWL

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