Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Sarmiento de La Banda		Olimpo Bahia Blanca

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.4	7.5
	1.44	3.45	8.8
	1.42	3.37	8.55
				Watch
	1.41	3.5	9.6
	1.44	3.45	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)	3.43 ↓ (3.86)	8.65 ↓ (9.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de La Banda
63.2%

Draw
26.4%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

23.6%

9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

18.3%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de La Banda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Sarmiento de La Banda - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Herrera E. R. (Pen),
23', 1 - 1, Espejo L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:3 ✺
06.10.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0 penalties ✺
29.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLT
- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	9 de Julio - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.10.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1

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