The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Clara 39.4%
Draw 32.1%
Gil Vicente 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
30.8%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
30.8%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.
Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gil Vicente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Clara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gil Vicente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
30%
30%
Santa Clara - Gil Vicente Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 42. Lucas Soares 23. Lima S. 94. Silva H. 5. Guilherme Romao 35. Serginho 8. Ferreira P. 77. Gustavo Klismahn 49. Welinton Torrao 26. Fernando 10. Gabriel Silva
30. Lucao (G) 20. Hevertton S. 4. Elimbi M. 39. Buatu J. (C) 3. Konan G. 6. Ze Carlos 5. Caseres F. 77. Murilo de Souza 10. Esteves L. 27. Moreira A. 89. Varela G.
Substitutes
11. Brenner 37. Darlan 2. Diogo Calila 7. Elias Manoel 12. Neneca (G) 64. Paulo Victor 65. Tavares J. 21. Venancio F. 70. Vinicius Lopes
16. Beleza G. 29. Carlos Eduardo 48. Espigares A. 32. Fernandez M. 99. Figueira Daniel (G) 82. Maia G. 80. Rodrigues R. 7. Toure T. 26. Weverson
Coaches
Petit
Peixoto C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Elimbi M. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
41', Serginho 🟨,
42', Caseres F. 🟨,
44', Moreira A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Welinton Torrao ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
61', Serginho ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
74', Gabriel Silva ↓, Brenner ↑,
74', Fernando ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
75', Esteves L. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
77', Petit 🟨,
85', Varela G. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
85', Moreira A. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 0, Vinicius Lopes ⚽, Tavares J. (A),
90+6', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Venancio F. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Garcia S.
(Yellow Cards)
Mutombo J.
(Inactive)
Ze Carlos
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Santa Clara: Gabriel Silva
(Injury)
MT
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
Portugal
Ukraine
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Gabriel Batista (C) 
Serginho 
Elimbi M. 
Buatu J. (C) 
Konan G. 
Caseres F. 
Moreira A. 
Diogo Calila 
Tavares J. 
Espigares A. 
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