Match Info

Date: 15 January 2022, Saturday


	Gillingham		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.15
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.65	3.4	2.1
	3.3	3.2	2.16
	3.39	3.42	2.24
	3.25	3.4	2.15
	3.46	3.48	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.88)	3.39 ↑ (3.29)	2.15 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
27.9%

Draw
28%

Burton Albion
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.5%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

20.6%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burton Albion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burton Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gillingham - Burton Albion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Gillingham has the most likely position - 23 (21.89%), has project points - 41, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Burton has the most likely position - 12 (10.3%), has project points - 61, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Gillingham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Burton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League One
08.01.22	Gillingham - Ipswich Town	0:4 ✺
01.01.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
11.12.21	Fleetwood Town - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
07.12.21	Rotherham United - Gillingham	5:1 ✺
27.11.21	Gillingham - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLLL
- Burton Albion
English League One
08.01.22	Cheltenham Town - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
01.01.22	Burton Albion - Crewe Alexandra	4:1 ✺
11.12.21	Rotherham United - Burton Albion	3:1 ✺
07.12.21	Wycombe Wanderers - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.12.21	Burton Albion - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.09.21	Burton Albion - Gillingham	1:1
01.05.21	Burton Albion - Gillingham	1:1
09.01.21	Gillingham - Burton Albion	0:1
08.02.20	Burton Albion - Gillingham	0:0
10.08.19	Gillingham - Burton Albion	1:2
12.01.19	Burton Albion - Gillingham	2:3
11.08.18	Gillingham - Burton Albion	3:1

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