Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 8 December 2022, Thursday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Gillingham		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.8
	2.5	3.25	2.85
	2.3	3.35	2.95
	2.55	3.3	2.87
	2.4	3	2.88
	2.44	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.19)	3.23 ↓ (3.24)	2.87 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
38.2%

Draw
29.1%

Dagenham & Redbridge
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	48%	24%

Gillingham - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Dagenham will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Gillingham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dagenham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
03.12.22	Gillingham - Salford City	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
26.11.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
English League Two
22.11.22	Crawley Town - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
19.11.22	Newport County - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
15.11.22	Gillingham - Fylde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLW
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
03.12.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
26.11.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
English National League
19.11.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Scunthorpe United	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Solihull Moors - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Maidenhead United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
26.11.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Gillingham	1:1
English League Two
16.02.13	Gillingham - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1
25.08.12	Dagenham & Redbridge - Gillingham	1:2
09.04.12	Gillingham - Dagenham & Redbridge	N/A

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