Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Gillingham		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.6
	5.25	3.8	1.61
	5.3	4	1.65
	5.2	3.85	1.59
	5.66	4.11	1.62
	5.5	3.6	1.63
	5.85	4.1	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (4.96)	3.95 ↑ (3.88)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
17.6%

Draw
24%

Rotherham United
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

24.1%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

23.6%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Gillingham - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Rotherham will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Gillingham has the most likely position - 21 (47.33%), has project points - 41, has currently - 40, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Rotherham has the most likely position - 2 (56.2%), has project points - 89, has currently - 87, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a good chance of promoted (85%), has a chance of win league (25%).

This event has small quality 13, very big importance 100, match rating 57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 0.

Gillingham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rotherham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rotherham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rotherham is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League One
23.04.22	Portsmouth - Gillingham	3:1 ✺
18.04.22	Gillingham - Fleetwood Town	0:0 ✺
15.04.22	Cheltenham Town - Gillingham	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Gillingham - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Sunderland - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTTL
- Rotherham United
English League One
26.04.22	Sunderland - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Rotherham United - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
19.04.22	Burton Albion - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Rotherham United - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
12.04.22	Portsmouth - Rotherham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.12.21	Rotherham United - Gillingham	5:1
02.11.19	Gillingham - Rotherham United	0:3
17.04.18	Gillingham - Rotherham United	0:1
28.10.17	Rotherham United - Gillingham	1:3
05.04.14	Gillingham - Rotherham United	3:4
30.11.13	Rotherham United - Gillingham	4:1
English League Two
01.04.13	Gillingham - Rotherham United	1:0

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