Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Gillingham		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.55
	6	3.8	1.55
	6.25	3.95	1.57
	6	3.75	1.55
	6.55	4.22	1.54
	6.5	3.8	1.55
	6.65	4.2	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↑ (3.94)	3.96 ↑ (3.42)	1.55 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
14.9%

Draw
24%

Sheffield Wednesday
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.5%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

17.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield Wednesday's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+22%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-29.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gillingham - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Gillingham has the most likely position - 21 (33.68%), has project points - 40, has currently - 33, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 5 (21.47%), has project points - 81, has currently - 65, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (68%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 14, importance 50, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Gillingham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sheff Wed is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League One
15.03.22	Charlton Athletic - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
12.03.22	Doncaster Rovers - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Gillingham - Bolton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
26.02.22	Lincoln City - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
22.02.22	Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWLWT
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
15.03.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Cambridge United	6:0 ✺
05.03.22	Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
01.03.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Burton Albion	5:2 ✺
26.02.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Charlton Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.11.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Gillingham	1:1

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