Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Young A. (Eng)


	Lincoln City		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.83
	3.9	3.6	1.83
	4.65	3.55	1.8
	3.95	3.55	1.84
	4.39	3.72	1.85
	4.2	3.4	1.85
	4.3	3.62	1.9	Watch
	4.1	3.65	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.81)	3.59 ↑ (3.38)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
22.3%

Draw
26.3%

Sheffield Wednesday
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

27.7%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

27.2%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Users Predictions: Sheffield Wednesday will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Lincoln has the most likely position - 11 (7.81%), has project points - 63, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (31.06%), has project points - 93, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a good chance of promoted (64%), has a chance of win league (31%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 36, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Lincoln is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sheff Wed is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sheff Wed is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Lincoln City - Newcastle United U21	2:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Ipswich Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Lincoln City - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWTLL
- Sheffield Wednesday
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Leicester City U21	2:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Cambridge United - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Cheltenham Town	3:0 ✺
04.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Port Vale - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
05.03.22	Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1
23.10.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Lincoln City	1:1
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:3
13.07.18	Lincoln City - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1

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