The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 28.9%
Draw 29.6%
Fleetwood Town 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
30.1%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
29.3%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Shrewsbury Town - Fleetwood Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Brook W. (G) 23. Lee I. 26. Stubbs S. 4. Anderson T. 20. Kabia I. 43. Gray W. 14. Perry T. 30. Berkoe K. 19. Morgan I. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)
13. Lynch J. (G) 18. Holgate H. 4. Bolton J. 5. Potter F. 20. Neal H. 16. Ennis E. 6. Bonds E. (C) 38. McLean C. 22. Powell J. 9. Davies W. 19. Coughlan R.
Substitutes
3. Benning M. 1. Cox M. (G) 38. England I. 48. Ihionvien B. 7. McDermott T. 25. Ruffels J. 10. Sang T.
39. Cirino R. 15. Davies J. 29. Devonport O. 10. Helm M. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 23. Morrison G. 7. Osong D. E.
Coaches
Cowan G.
Lawlor M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Perry T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Anderson T. ↓, Ruffels J. ↑,
56', Marquis J. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, McLean C. ⚽, Ennis E. (A),
61', Davies W. 🟨,
61', Gray W. 🟨,
63', McLean C. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
67', Berkoe K. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
67', Lloyd G. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
67', Gray W. ↓, England I. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Ruffels J. ⚽, Morgan I. (A),
76', Coughlan R. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
89', Ennis E. ↓, Cirino R. ↑,
89', Bonds E. ↓, Morrison G. ↑,
90+4', Cirino R. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Kabia I. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Fleetwood is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Hoole L.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Head Injury)
McCann L.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Mullarkey T.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Shrewsbury: 1.66%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Shrewsbury
9
3
2
4
9:14
-5
11
18
Fleetwood
9
2
4
3
9:10
-1
10
Last Results with these Odds
Shrewsbury Town - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.1%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Fleetwood Town - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.