Match Info

League Two - Round 43

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Heaslip E. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.91
	3.7	3.45	1.92
	3.85	3.58	1.97
	4.07	3.34	1.91	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.95
	3.91	3.31	1.96	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.1)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)	1.98 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
24.9%

Draw
27.9%

Oldham Athletic
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Shrewsbury Town - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Oldham will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oldham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cox M. (G) 26. Stubbs S. 5. Boyle W. 25. Ruffels J. 20. Kabia I. 14. Perry T. 43. Gray W. 30. Berkoe K. 19. Morgan I. 48. Ihionvien B. 27. Marquis J. (C)	1. Hudson M. (G) 16. Sutton W. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 4. Pett T. (C) 8. Woods R. 15. Drummond K. 26. Payne K. 21. Hawkes J. 9. Fondop-Talum M.
Substitutes
4. Anderson T. 3. Benning M. 12. Brook W. (G) 16. Freeman N. 9. Lloyd G. 7. McDermott T. 11. Scully A.	31. Donaghy T. (G) 14. Garner J. 27. Hammond O. 22. Jalo F. 3. Leake J. 40. Simeu D. 7. Taylor K.
Coaches
Cowan G.	Mellon M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Boyle W. ⚽, Perry T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Payne K. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
47', Morgan I. 🟨,
57', Daniels D. ↓, Simeu D. ↑,
62', Garner J. 🟨,
63', Hawkes J. ↓, Jalo F. ↑,
77', Ihionvien B. 🟨,
79', Gray W. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
80', Ihionvien B. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
85', Morgan I. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
87', Jalo F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 3.

Shrewsbury is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oldham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oldham might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Hoole L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury) Mellon M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Sang T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J. (Injury) Ogle R. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Oldham: 2.41% Shrewsbury: 0.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Shrewsbury	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11
21	Oldham	9	2	2	5	9:13	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Shrewsbury Town - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.55%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
07.04.26	Bromley - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Shrewsbury Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Newport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Shrewsbury Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:4 ✺
17.03.26	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Oldham Athletic
English League Two
06.04.26	Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Colchester United - Oldham Athletic	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Oldham Athletic - Notts County	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.10.25	Oldham Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	2:2
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Oldham Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
English EFL Trophy
23.01.18	Shrewsbury Town - Oldham Athletic	2:1
English League One
01.01.18	Shrewsbury Town - Oldham Athletic	1:0
16.09.17	Oldham Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	1:2
21.01.17	Shrewsbury Town - Oldham Athletic	1:0
03.09.16	Oldham Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	2:3

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