Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 27

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Gillingham		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.7
	2.7	3.25	2.5
	2.7	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.64	3.2	2.64
	2.8	3.25	2.72
	2.7	3.25	2.45
	2.69	3.22	2.59	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.79)	3.24 ↓ (3.27)	2.58 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
34.7%

Draw
29%

Stockport County
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28.4%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Gillingham - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Stockport will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Turner J. (G) 24. Hutton R. 4. Masterson C. 5. Ehmer M. (C) 22. Ogie S. 3. Clark M. 38. Dieng T. 18. Coleman E. 8. Williams J. 17. Clarke J. 47. Walker J.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 32. Cass L. 6. Horsfall F. 5. Byrne N. 3. Touray I. 14. Collar W. 10. Sarcevic A. 18. Croasdale R. 21. Hippolyte M. 19. Wootton K. 9. Madden P. (C)
Substitutes
12. Hawkins O. 23. Mahoney C. 13. Malone S. 14. McKenzie R. 1. Morris G. (G) 10. Nadesan A. 6. Williams S.	27. Bailey O. 26. Bennett R. 23. Bristow E. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 25. Olaofe I. 11. Powell N. 12. Smith J. (G)
Coaches
Clemence S.	Challinor D.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Stockport will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
17.02.24	Newport County - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Gillingham - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
09.02.24	Notts County - Gillingham	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Gillingham - Walsall	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWTL
- Stockport County
English League Two
17.02.24	Tranmere Rovers - Stockport County	4:0 ✺
13.02.24	Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Grimsby Town - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Stockport County - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.08.23	Stockport County - Gillingham	0:1
15.04.23	Gillingham - Stockport County	1:1
07.03.23	Stockport County - Gillingham	0:0

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