Match Info

EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Stockport County		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	6.25	Watch
	1.34	4.95	7.9	Watch
	1.58	4.02	5.34	Watch
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.32	4.7	7.75	Watch
	1.33	5.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)	4.75 ↑ (4.48)	6.96 ↑ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
67.2%

Draw
19.5%

Harrogate Town
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

19.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Stockport County - Harrogate Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stockport County will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Addai C. (G) 31. Hunt J. 5. Olowu J. (C) 3. Dodgson O. 41. Okeke J. 42. Edwards C. 21. Moxon O. 48. Gardner C. 11. Mothersille M. 7. Diamond J. 27. Bailey O.	13. Gray H. (G) 26. Horton G. 15. O'Connor A. 24. Cass L. 3. Slater J. 8. Morris B. 44. Falkingham J. (C) 25. Cursons T. 18. Muldoon J. 22. Smith R. 10. Bennett M.
Substitutes
47. Allen A. 22. Andresson B. 14. Edun T. 40. Mee A. 28. Stokes J. 44. Watson R. 32. Wogan A. (G)	2. Asare Z. 6. Burrell W. 23. Jameson K. 14. McAleny C. 9. McCoulsky S. 1. Oxley M. (G) 7. Thomson G.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Weaver S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Edwards C. ↓, Mee A. ↑,
46', Hunt J. ↓, Watson R. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Cursons T. ⚽, Muldoon J. (A),
63', Diamond J. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
63', Mothersille M. ↓, Andresson B. ↑,
64', Bailey O. ↓, Allen A. ↑,
73', Bennett M. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
75', Cursons T. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Stokes J. ⚽, Andresson B. (A),
88', Falkingham J. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Stokes J. ⚽, Allen A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 3.

Stockport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Harrogate is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stockport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stockport is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stockport won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now

Stockport County: 4.28%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League One
10.01.26	Stockport County - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Reading - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Northampton Town - Stockport County	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Stockport County - Doncaster Rovers	4:2 ✺
26.12.25	Stockport County - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTWL
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
10.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Salford City - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.02.24	Stockport County - Harrogate Town	1:1
14.10.23	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	1:3
11.02.23	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	1:3
17.09.22	Stockport County - Harrogate Town	0:0
English League Cup
09.08.22	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	0:1
English National League
24.08.19	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	2:1
English FA Trophy
02.02.19	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	2:4

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