Match Info

K League 1 - Round 17

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Gimcheon Stadium (Gimcheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gimcheon Sangmu		Bucheon

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.30	3.80
	1.9	3.25	3.85
	2.02	3.44	4.14
	1.95	3.4	3.88	Watch
	1.98	3.4	4.05
	1.98	3.36	3.97	Watch
	1.93	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	3.94 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimcheon Sangmu
48%

Draw
28.1%

Bucheon
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.5%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Gimcheon Sangmu - Bucheon Predictions

Users Predictions: Gimcheon Sangmu will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baek Jong-beom (G) 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 15. Lim Dug-Keun 26. Lee Jung-Taek (C) 3. Park Cheol-Woo 7. Go Jae-Hyeon 56. Lee K. 6. Lee Soo-Bin 17. Kim Joo-Chan 14. Park Se-Jin 57. Jung Jae-Min	1. Kim H. (G) 20. Hong Sung-Wook 29. Baek Dong-Gyu (C) 3. Patrick William 7. Thiaguinho Santos 16. Kim Sang-Jun 19. Seong S. 26. An Tae-Hyun 13. Kim Min-Jun 63. Vitor Gabriel 11. Galego
Substitutes
42. Hong Si-Hoo 10. Jeon Byung-Kwan 21. Kim In-Gyun 9. Lee G. 47. Lee Sang-Heon 37. Moon Hyeon-Ho (G) 33. Park Jin-Seong 55. Park T. 53. Roh Kyung-Ho	22. Han Ji-Ho 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 14. Kim Jong-Woo 71. Kim Seung-Bin 93. Lee J. 9. Park Jeong-In 10. Rodrigo Bassani 25. Yeo Bong-Hun 4. Yoa koa S.
Coaches
Joo S.	Lee Young-Min

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Go Jae-Hyeon ⚽, Jung Jae-Min (A),
32', 1 - 1, Baek Dong-Gyu ⚽, Patrick William (A),
45+2', Kim Sang-Jun 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Seong S. ↓, Kim Jong-Woo ↑,
61', Kim Min-Jun ↓, Rodrigo Bassani ↑,
61', Vitor Gabriel ↓, Park Jeong-In ↑,
63', Lee Soo-Bin ↓, Park T. ↑,
74', Go Jae-Hyeon ↓, Jeon Byung-Kwan ↑,
74', Park Se-Jin ↓, Lee Sang-Heon ↑,
74', Kim Joo-Chan ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
82', Thiaguinho Santos ↓, Kim Seung-Bin ↑,
88', An Tae-Hyun 🟨,
88', Jung Jae-Min ↓, Lee G. ↑,
90', Galego ↓, Yeo Bong-Hun ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 4.

Gimcheon Sangmu could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Gimcheon Sangmu ✔	31	5	18	8	30:37	-7	33
11	Bucheon FC 1995 ✔	31	7	11	13	31:42	-11	32

Last Results with these Odds

Gimcheon Sangmu - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.76%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
05.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Incheon United	0:3 ✺
05.05.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLL
- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 1
04.07.26	Daejeon Citizen - Bucheon	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Bucheon - Pohang Steelers	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Bucheon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Ulsan HD - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Bucheon - Jeju	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
25.04.26	Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:2
South Korean Cup
14.05.25	Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:1 ET
South Korean K-League 2
07.10.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Bucheon	3:1
01.07.23	Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:3
15.04.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Bucheon	4:1
17.10.21	Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:1
31.07.21	Gimcheon Sangmu - Bucheon	2:0

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