Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.08	3	3.55
	2.17	2.99	3.69
	2.16	3.01	3.65	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	2.12	2.92	3.5
	2.08	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.28)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	3.54 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
43.3%

Draw
31%

Cartagena
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cartagena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebollo D. (G) 2. Camus S. 4. Alba D. 5. Morgado C. 16. Moi 17. Martinez P. 6. Prendes M. 8. Montalvo M. 19. Fuentes J. 11. Jimenez A. 23. Baselga M.	1. Martinez I. (G) 18. Perejon D. 4. Serrano R. 5. Baz I. 22. Martinez N. 7. Calderon C. 6. Fidalgo A. 11. Redondo L. 8. De Blasis P. 23. Nacho 19. Chiki
Substitutes
12. Almpanis C. 22. Alvaro Garcia 31. Alves A. 13. Fuidias T. (G) 27. Gutierrez A. 10. Jardi J. 7. Junca D. 18. Kaptoum W. 9. Omoigui C. 21. Pujol E. 29. Subirats O. 15. Torres F.	14. Alcaniz E. 21. Chuca 13. Garcia L. (G) 20. Gomez D. 3. Jimenez N. 2. Jurado M. 10. Larrea P. 16. Martin A. 9. Ortuno A. 17. Sanchez K. 15. Velez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Baselga M. ⚽,
37', Camus S. 🟨,
37', Redondo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', De Blasis P. ↓, Alcaniz E. ↑,
46', Alba D. ↓, Pujol E. ↑,
52', Perejon D. ↓, Jurado M. ↑,
60', Calderon C. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
60', Nacho ↓, Martin A. ↑,
67', Baselga M. 🟨,
67', Martinez N. 🟨,
70', Fuentes J. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
72', Serrano R. ↓, Chuca ↑,
85', Baselga M. ↓, Almpanis C. ↑,
85', Martinez P. ↓, Subirats O. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Jardi J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Gimnàstic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cartagena is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gimnàstic could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnàstic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.12.25	Sevilla B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	2:2 ✺
21.11.25	Villarreal B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Marbella	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTWL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.25	Cartagena - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.11.25	Betis B - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cartagena - Eldense	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	CE Europa - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.03.12	Cartagena - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3

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