The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay 56.4%
Draw 26.9%
Defensores de Pronunciamiento 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
30.2%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
29.4%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay's performance.
Defensores de Pronunciamiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Pronunciamiento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Pronunciamiento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Pronunciamiento Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Esgrima will win (votes: 8 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia y Esgrima: 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Benitez J. (Pen),
90+5', 1 - 1, Allende Diego ⚽,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
Gimnasia y Esgrima is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )
Defensores de Pronunciamiento is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Esgrima won 1.
Recent matches Gimnasia y Esgrima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Defensores de Pronunciamiento is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Defensores de Pronunciamiento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Gimnasia y Esgrima will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Esgrima won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia y Esgrima won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.
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