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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 51.6%
Draw 29.4%
Atlético de Rafaela 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.1%
29%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.5%
27.7%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions
Users Predictions:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 2. Mondino D. 3. Recalde M. 4. Cortez I. 6. Padilla M. 5. Antonio I. 10. Ciccolini L. 7. Solis N. 8. Romano N. 9. Silba L. 11. Antonini F.
1. Bilbao E. (G) 2. Jappert K. 6. Colombo R. 3. Stizza J. 4. Kozlovsky N. 5. Fuyana J. 7. Aguirre J. 8. Valdivia M. 10. Galeano J. 11. Dichiara R. 9. Albertengo L.
Substitutes
15. Barboza N. 13. Esposito G. 16. Meritello F. 14. Nadalin F. 12. Petruchi L. (G) 19. Rinaldi N. 17. Rodriguez J. 18. Salega G. 20. Spetale A.
12. Bergia M. (G) 19. Berrondo A. 16. Bravo I. 15. Merlino L. 13. Navarro G. 14. Oliver F. 18. Pardo M. 17. Tomatis B. 20. Vidal P.
Coaches
Medran E.
Nardozza F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Jappert K. 🟨,
37', Kozlovsky N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Ciccolini L. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
66', Valdivia M. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
66', Galeano J. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
70', Romano N. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
76', Stizza J. 🟨,
77', Stizza J. ↓, Vidal P. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Esposito G. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Solis N. ⚽,
90', Antonini F. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Colombo R. ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 1.
Gimnasia Mendoza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Atlético de Rafaela has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gimnasia Mendoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Gimnasia Mendoza is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Gimnasia Mendoza to win the game is with odds 1.81.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Mendoza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
Argentina
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Tagliamonte M. (G) 
Navarro G. 
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