Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 26

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Ceballo C. (Arg)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4.5
	1.9	3	4.2
	1.95	3	4.5
	1.96	3.02	4.85
	1.88	3	4.33
	1.93	3.2	4.4
	1.92	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.82)	3.09 ↓ (3.24)	4.43 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
48.6%

Draw
30.3%

Güemes
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

27.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Güemes will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olivera B. (G) 5. Antonio I. 2. Gutierrez A. 6. Palmieri M. 3. Recalde M. 8. Lopez S. 4. Nadalin F. 7. Romano N. 11. Seratto R. 9. Juncos J. 10. Castro R.	1. Mendonca J. (G) 6. Escudero M. 5. Garcia M. 2. Machuca B. 3. Sambataro M. 7. Casa M. 8. Bellone M. 4. Bellone A. O. 11. Benega S. 9. Cano L. 10. Carruega S.
Substitutes
15. Barboza O. 13. Caseres R. 18. Esposito G. 16. Herrera H. 20. Herrera W. A. 12. Humeler K. (G) 17. Marchiori T. 19. Nouet M. 14. Paniagua H.	20. Almada L. 15. Alvarez L. 18. Contreras E. 17. Gamarra G. 19. Maggi I. 13. Miers M. 12. Romero J. (G) 16. Vallejos I. 14. Zurita M.
Coaches
Sastre J.	Perazzo W

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15).

Recent matches Gimnasia Mendoza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Güemes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Güemes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimnasia Mendoza is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Mendoza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.07.23	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Alvarado	3:1 ✺
26.06.23	Deportivo Flandria - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
18.06.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWL
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.23	Güemes - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Güemes	3:1 ✺
30.06.23	Güemes - San Martín de San Juan	4:0 ✺
23.06.23	Defensores Unidos - Güemes	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Güemes - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.03.23	Güemes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0
19.03.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Güemes	1:1

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