Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 22

Date: 23 June 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)


	Defensores Unidos		Güemes

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	3.3
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.25	2.9	3.5
	2.41	2.85	3.59
	2.25	2.8	3.3
	2.32	3.06	3.34
	2.31	2.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)	2.92 ↓ (2.98)	3.36 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
40.3%

Draw
32%

Güemes
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Defensores Unidos - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Güemes will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Laumann F. 6. Morales A. 3. Mbombaj G. 8. Gomez B. 5. Nizzo M. 10. Disanto L. 11. Garcia B. 7. Lonardi F. 9. Velazquez J. (C)	1. Mendonca J. (G) 4. Bellone A. O. 2. Machuca B. 6. Escudero M. 3. Gamarra G. 11. Contreras E. 5. Garcia M. 8. Bellone M. (C) 10. Vallejos I. 9. Cano L. 7. Casa M.
Substitutes
12. Aquino M. (G) 14. Desposito P. 13. Mariatti M. 15. Ortigoza M. 20. Osuna L. 18. Palazuelos B. 17. Suarez J. 16. Suarez L. 19. Toloza N.	19. Maggi I. 12. Romero J. (G) 15. Sambataro M. 14. Sanches M. 18. Santa Cruz I. 13. Serrano I. E. 17. Silva D. 16. Vera M.
Coaches
Davio S.	Perazzo W

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Defensores Unidos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.06.23	Patronato Parana - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	Defensores Unidos - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	Deportivo Flandria - Defensores Unidos	0:2 ✺
20.05.23	Defensores Unidos - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTWT
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.06.23	Güemes - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Güemes	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	Club Almagro - Güemes	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	Güemes - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Temperley - Güemes	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.02.23	Güemes - Defensores Unidos	1:1

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