Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	4
	2.2	2.8	3.4
	2.25	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.35	2.76	3.91
	2.35	2.72	3.91
	2.2	2.88	3.5
	2.24	2.86	3.55
	2.24	2.8	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.21)	2.81 ↑ (2.77)	3.67 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
41.2%

Draw
33.3%

Mitre
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

33%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

31.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gimnasia y Tiro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 6. Abello D. 8. Araujo A. 5. Birge R. 10. Busse W. 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 9. Gordillo L. 11. Heredia F. 2. Neira E. 7. Rojas F. 3. Sanabria I.	1. Jachfe L. (G) 5. Alessandroni J. 11. Arevalo Gonzalez T. 4. Diaz C. 9. Encina E. 8. Gobetto J. P. 10. Mansilla A. 6. Melillan F. 7. Mieres B. 2. Piris O. 3. Sanchez M.
Substitutes
20. Attis T. 12. Beltran L. 14. Chamorro R. 19. Duarte B. 17. Esparza M. 18. Fernandez E. 13. Monti I. 15. Rosales J. 16. Villarreal R.	16. Castro T. 15. Coppo T. 13. Ferreyra T. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 17. Moyano J. 18. Ramirez A. 20. Ruiz N. 19. Torres J. 14. Wiechniak F.
Coaches
Forestello R.	Sastre J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Chaves I. F. ⚽,
62', Gobetto J. P. ↓, Coppo T. ↑,
62', Diaz C. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
65', Mieres B. 🟨,
70', Arevalo Gonzalez T. ↓, Castro T. ↑,
75', Gordillo L. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
82', Rojas F. 🟨,
83', Rojas F. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Gimnasia y Tiro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mitre is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia y Tiro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.04.24	Aldosivi - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:2 ✺
31.03.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
25.03.24	Colón - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
19.03.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.03.24	Argentinos Juniors - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TTLTL
- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.04.24	Mitre - Güemes	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Mitre - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
25.03.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Mitre	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Mitre - Colón	2:2 ✺
10.03.24	Almirante Brown - Mitre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.05.17	Mitre - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1

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