Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ponferradina		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.37	4	7.25
	1.39	4.55	7.82
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.52)	4.28 ↑ (3.62)	7.54 ↑ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
66.4%

Draw
21.4%

Gimnástica Segoviana
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

25%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

24.1%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponferradina's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Ponferradina - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 2. Andujar D. 3. Novoa G. 18. Ramon A. 15. Bustos A. 24. Doue M. 22. Esquerdo V. 7. Gomez E. 9. Cabanzon Y. 21. Cortes J.	44. Oliva H. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 4. Lopez D. 17. Chupo 16. Sanz R. 11. Astray P. 6. Olmedilla M. 22. De La Mata J. 10. Borrego J. 19. Farrell J.
Substitutes
25. Barredo P. (G) 6. Fernandez B. 12. Ferrer P. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 5. Lancho J. 19. Lopez A. 16. Lozano M. 11. Mula A. 4. Sibille K. 10. Valle B.	7. Berlanga M. 18. Cespedes M. 8. Diaz H. 9. Gomez D. 14. Llorente F. 26. Marcos H. 32. Maroto A. 3. Molina S. 30. Postigo A. (G) 20. Tellechea I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Sanz R. 🟨,
31', Farrell J. 🟨,
31', Pascual A. 🟥,
33', 1 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Astray P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sanz R. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
57', 3 - 0, Bustos A. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Bustos A. ⚽,
64', Molina S. 🟨,
64', Carrique T. ↓, Jorrin M. ↑,
64', Esquerdo V. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
64', Cortes J. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
65', Juan Silva ↓, Berlanga M. ↑,
65', Astray P. ↓, Tellechea I. ↑,
65', Chupo ↓, Llorente F. ↑,
65', Borrego J. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
74', Bustos A. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
74', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Valle B. ↑,
77', Ferrer P. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

G Segoviana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ponferradina is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.02.25	Amorebieta - Ponferradina	3:1 ✺
07.02.25	Ponferradina - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Ponferradina - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWW
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.02.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Osasuna B	2:4 ✺
08.02.25	Barcelona B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
31.01.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:0 ✺
18.01.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.09.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ponferradina	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.03.18	Ponferradina - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:0
01.11.17	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ponferradina	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.09.17	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ponferradina	0:1

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