Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 24

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu (Kitakyushu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.87	2.75
	2.5	2.95	2.75	Watch
	2.67	3	2.83
	2.71	2.88	2.69	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.62
	2.57	2.88	2.71	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.32)	2.92 ↑ (2.9)	2.73 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
35.7%

Draw
31.1%

Kataller Toyama
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

32%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

30.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kataller Toyama's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giravanz Kitakyushu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanaka Y. (G) 22. Yamawaki K. 50. Sugiyama K. 13. Kudo K. 33. Inui T. 6. Fujiwara K. 34. Takayoshi S. 29. Koh S. 17. Okano R. 21. Ushinohama T. 10. Nagai R.	1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 26. Nabeta A. 4. Kamiyama K. 25. Yasumitsu S. 24. Kawai Y. 16. Sueki H. 22. Shiina N. 33. Takahashi Y. 27. Yoshihira T. 9. Usui S.
Substitutes
4. Hasegawa K. 7. Hirahara R. 14. Izawa H. 16. Omori S. 31. Otani K. (G) 23. Sakamoto K. 8. Wakaya T.	29. Furukawa M. 28. Fuseya S. 5. Imase J. 19. Inoue N. 8. Matsuoka D. 31. Saito K. (G) 17. Tsubokawa H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Kawai Y. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Nagai R. ⚽, Fujiwara K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Shiina N. ↓, Inoue N. ↑,
46', Nagai R. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
46', Kawai Y. ↓, Fuseya S. ↑,
48', Okano R. 🟨,
53', Fujiwara K. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Fujiwara K. ⚽,
61', Yoshihira T. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
69', Koh S. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
69', Fujiwara K. ↓, Wakaya T. ↑,
82', Sueki H. ↓, Furukawa M. ↑,
82', Nabeta A. ↓, Imase J. ↑,
84', Okano R. ↓, Hasegawa K. ↑,
89', Ushinohama T. ↓, Hirahara R. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 1.

Giravanz in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kataller Toyama is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giravanz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Giravanz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
27.07.24	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
14.07.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Gainare Tottori - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2 ✺
29.06.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Fukushima United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWW
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
27.07.24	Kataller Toyama - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Grulla Morioka - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Kataller Toyama - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
06.07.24	Osaka - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.04.24	Kataller Toyama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0
08.10.23	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kataller Toyama	0:1
19.03.23	Kataller Toyama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:2
13.11.22	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kataller Toyama	1:2
27.03.22	Kataller Toyama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2
Japan J2 League
04.10.14	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kataller Toyama	2:2
06.05.14	Kataller Toyama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2

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