Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 23

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.68	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.69	3.9	4.79
	1.7	3.72	4.35	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.2
	1.65	3.68	4.6	Watch
	1.68	3.65	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.8)	3.69 ↑ (3.45)	4.42 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
54.7%

Draw
24.7%

Nagano Parceiro
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Kataller Toyama - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Kataller Toyama will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 26. Nabeta A. 4. Kamiyama K. 25. Yasumitsu S. 24. Kawai Y. 16. Sueki H. 22. Shiina N. 33. Takahashi Y. 27. Yoshihira T. 9. Usui S.	21. Kim Min-Ho (G) 25. Tanaka K. 7. Ono Y. 5. Ikegaya H. 19. Sugii H. 8. Kondo T. 46. Koga S. 37. Takahashi K. 10. Yamanaka R. 14. Sanda N. 18. Ukita K.
Substitutes
28. Fuseya S. 19. Inoue N. 11. Matsumoto K. 8. Matsuoka D. 31. Saito K. (G) 17. Tsubokawa H. 2. Wakimoto K.	33. Ando K. 22. Kihara R. 17. Kutsuna K. 6. Nishimura Y. 26. Park S. 48. Sunamori K. 1. Tajiri K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Yoshihira T. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ikegaya H. ↓, Nishimura Y. ↑,
46', Yamanaka R. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
54', Shiina N. 🟨,
59', Yoshihira T. ↓, Fuseya S. ↑,
59', Shiina N. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
65', Kamiyama K. 🟨,
67', Usui S. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
67', Kawai Y. ↓, Tsubokawa H. ↑,
76', Sanda N. ↓, Park S. ↑,
76', Tanaka K. ↓, Sunamori K. ↑,
81', Sueki H. ↓, Inoue N. ↑,
84', Koga S. ↓, Kihara R. ↑,
90+2', Park S. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Matsuoka D. (Pen),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 2.

Kataller Toyama is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nagano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Kataller Toyama is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kataller Toyama to win the game is with odds 1.81.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Kataller Toyama won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
21.07.24	Grulla Morioka - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Kataller Toyama - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
06.07.24	Osaka - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
26.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTTW
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
20.07.24	Nagano Parceiro - Imabari	0:2 ✺
13.07.24	Nagano Parceiro - Grulla Morioka	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nagano Parceiro	3:0 ✺
29.06.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
22.06.24	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	2:3
23.09.23	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	3:1
26.03.23	Kataller Toyama - Nagano Parceiro	3:3
14.08.22	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	1:0
25.06.22	Kataller Toyama - Nagano Parceiro	1:0
11.09.21	Kataller Toyama - Nagano Parceiro	3:0
20.06.21	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	4:0

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