Match Info

J3 League - Round 27

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu (Kitakyushu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.45	3.35	2.45
	2.54	3.34	2.59
	1.55	4.07	5.45	Watch
	2.48	3.32	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.02)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	3.09 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
41.6%

Draw
27.6%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

23.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Giravanz (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giravanz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanaka Y. (G) 22. Yamawaki K. 50. Sugiyama K. 44. Tsujioka Y. 6. Hoshi K. 34. Takayoshi S. 14. Izawa H. (C) 66. Takahashi D. 20. Yada A. 25. Tsubogo R. 10. Nagai R.	13. Kondo I. (G) 36. Adachi S. 43. Nose S. 30. Koyanagi T. (C) 14. Kikuchi K. 37. Sehata G. 7. Nishimura Y. 27. Fujimura R. 20. Shimokawa T. 10. Takazawa Y. 38. Konishi H.
Substitutes
13. Higashi R. 99. Kabayama R. 29. Koh S. 28. Konomi K. 17. Okano R. 41. Sugimoto M. (G) 32. Takayanagi F. 18. Watanabe S. 24. Yoshinaga M.	9. Aoki S. 32. Kawata A. 15. Kazama K. 21. Kim Je-hee (G) 49. Kotake S. 3. Ohata R. 33. Sakurai A. 18. Tanaka S. 8. Yamauchi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Izawa H. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Takahashi D. ⚽, Hoshi K. (A),
27', Nagai R. ↓, Koh S. ↑,
43', Takazawa Y. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
44', Konishi H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yada A. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
63', Nose S. 🟨,
70', Konishi H. ↓, Kotake S. ↑,
70', Fujimura R. ↓, Sakurai A. ↑,
73', Izawa H. ↓, Takayanagi F. ↑,
73', Tsubogo R. ↓, Okano R. ↑,
82', Kikuchi K. 🟨,
83', Shimokawa T. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
83', Sehata G. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
90+3', Takahashi D. ↓, Konomi K. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Giravanz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
06.09.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Gifu	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Nagano Parceiro - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Sagamihara - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Nara Club	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
06.09.25	Ryūkyū - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Osaka	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
30.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2
Japan J2 League
03.10.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:2
28.03.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2
10.10.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:0
09.08.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2
20.07.16	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:2
08.06.16	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:3

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