Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.1	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.15	3.35	2.13
	3.25	3.55	2.25
	3.2	3.25	2.15
	3.24	3.5	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.51)	3.35 ↑ (3.35)	2.16 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
29.4%

Draw
27.7%

Tokyo Verdy
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

19.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giravanz Kitakyushu's form might have worsened.

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo Verdy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tokyo Verdy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Tokyo Verdy have a series of home games.

Tokyo Verdy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Giravanz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 League
09.10.21	Júbilo Iwata - Giravanz Kitakyushu	4:1 ✺
03.10.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:2 ✺
26.09.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1 ✺
19.09.21	Blaublitz Akita - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLTW
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
09.10.21	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
03.10.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
26.09.21	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
19.09.21	Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata	1:3 ✺
11.09.21	Tokyo Verdy - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
16.05.21	Tokyo Verdy - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0
27.09.20	Tokyo Verdy - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0
23.08.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tokyo Verdy	2:1
08.10.16	Tokyo Verdy - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1
03.07.16	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tokyo Verdy	2:1
18.07.15	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tokyo Verdy	0:1
01.04.15	Tokyo Verdy - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0

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