Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday


	Tokyo Verdy		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	1.95	3.45	3.65	Watch
	1.97	3.25	3.6
	2.05	3.51	3.82
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.06	3.52	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.16)	3.32 ↑ (3.27)	3.57 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
46%

Draw
28%

Matsumoto Yamaga
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

21.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Tokyo Verdy - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Tokyo Verdy is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Matsumoto Yamaga has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tokyo Verdy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tokyo Verdy have a series of guest games.

Tokyo Verdy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
05.09.21	Omiya Ardija - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy	3:1 ✺
21.08.21	Tochigi - Tokyo Verdy	2:2 ✺
14.08.21	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 ✺
09.08.21	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 League
07.09.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
04.09.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Júbilo Iwata	0:4 ✺
29.08.21	Omiya Ardija - Matsumoto Yamaga	4:0 ✺
22.08.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ehime	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
18.08.21	Gamba Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.07.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokyo Verdy	2:1
16.12.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
19.08.20	Tokyo Verdy - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:0
04.11.18	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokyo Verdy	1:0
11.03.18	Tokyo Verdy - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1
10.09.17	Tokyo Verdy - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2
04.06.17	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokyo Verdy	1:1

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