Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: De Adelaarshorst (Deventer)

Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Go Ahead Eagles		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.2	3.7	3.05
	2.18	3.6	3
	2.2	3.81	3.21
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.14	3.65	3.13	Watch
	2.21	3.7	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)	3.66 ↑ (3.56)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
43.2%

Draw
25.8%

Cambuur
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	18.2%	4.5%

Go Ahead Eagles - Cambuur Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Cambuur will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Go Ahead has the most likely position - 14 (9.14%), has project points - 37, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cambuur has the most likely position - 18 (12.58%), has project points - 34, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 42, importance 40, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Go Ahead won 3.

Go Ahead is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cambuur is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Go Ahead will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Go Ahead won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Go Ahead won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
01.10.22	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.09.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Go Ahead Eagles	2:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.09.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Emmen	2:0 ✺
09.09.22	Volendam - Go Ahead Eagles	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Feyenoord	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.1 TWWWL
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eredivisie
01.10.22	Cambuur - PSV Eindhoven	3:0 ✺
17.09.22	Waalwijk - Cambuur	5:1 ✺
11.09.22	Cambuur - Groningen	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Ajax - Cambuur	4:0 ✺
28.08.22	Cambuur - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
19.03.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Cambuur	3:0
11.09.21	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	5:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.03.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Cambuur	0:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.20	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.20	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2
16.08.19	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	5:0
28.01.19	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1

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