Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	SuperSport 7
Argentina	Disney+
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Indonesia	Kompas TV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2, SupeSport ESPN
Spain	Gol Play, GolStadium
Turkey	Tivibu GO, Tivibu Spor
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	Ajax		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6	Watch
	1.52	4.4	5.85
	1.56	4.3	5.53	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.54	4.46	6.02	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.4)	4.23 ↓ (4.85)	5.45 ↓ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
60.3%

Draw
22.4%

Go Ahead Eagles
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.4%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

18.1%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	21.7%	8.7%

Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Go Ahead (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaros V. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 30. Bouwman A. 4. Itakura K. 2. Rosa L. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 6. Regeer Y. 48. Steur S. 43. Bounida R. 9. Dolberg K. 11. Godts M.	22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 21. Meulensteen M. 4. Kramer J. 29. Adelgaard A. 8. Linthorst E. 24. Goudmijn K. 19. Slory J. 7. Breum J. 17. Suray M. 9. Smit M.
Substitutes
41. Alders G. 17. Edvardsen O. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 10. Gloukh O. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 46. Jetten L. 24. Mokio J. 7. Moro R. 68. Ouazane A. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 37. Sutalo J. 53. van der Lans M.	23. Baeten T. 26. Dirksen J. 16. Edvardsen V. 5. James D. 18. Margaret R. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 11. Sivertsen O. 27. Stokkers F. 6. Twigt C. 25. van Zwam G. 33. Verdoni N. (G)
Coaches
Grim F.	Boel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Klaassen D. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
19', Goudmijn K. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Dolberg K. ⚽, Klaassen D. (A),
39', Smit M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Slory J. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
48', Goudmijn K. ↓, Edvardsen V. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Baeten T. ⚽, Linthorst E. (A),
64', Kramer J. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Smit M. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
67', Breum J. ↓, van Zwam G. ↑,
69', Adelgaard A. ↓, James D. ↑,
73', Linthorst E. 🟨,
75', Steur S. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
75', Klaassen D. ↓, Sutalo J. ↑,
77', Gaaei A. 🟨,
79', Regeer Y. 🟨,
84', Bounida R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
84', Godts M. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
85', Dolberg K. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2.

Ajax is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Go Ahead's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ajax has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ajax is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weghorst W. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Go Ahead: Nauber G. (Broken Leg) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Weijenberg R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Go Ahead: Tengstedt S. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:11. (average 2.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:3. (average 2.5:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22:10	12	15
9	G.A. Eagles	8	2	5	1	19:17	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	6:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Telstar - Ajax	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Ajax - Seraing	4:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.12.25	NEC Nijmegen - Ajax	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Ajax	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWTW
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	3:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	Roda - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	Twente - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
17.08.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	2:2
23.02.25	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0
21.09.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	1:1
04.04.24	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
14.01.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	2:3
02.04.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	0:0
01.10.22	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1

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