Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 12

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Cambuur		Groningen

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.75	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.45
	2.55	3.75	2.5	Watch
	2.39	3.65	2.49
	2.59	3.95	2.54
	2.45	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.52	3.8	2.49	Watch
	2.55	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.21)	3.71 ↑ (3.7)	2.49 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
37.2%

Draw
25.2%

Groningen
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

25.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

24.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambuur's form might have worsened.

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambuur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Cambuur - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Groningen will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Osch Y. (G) 2. Caschili G. 15. Tol M. 4. Bergsma L. 27. Sylla S. 8. van Kaam D. (C) 10. De Jong F. 14. Breij M. 9. Uldrikis R. 7. Balk R. 19. Smit M.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 5. Rente M. 12. Balker R. 43. Peersman M. 50. Prins W. 7. Hove J. 4. Pelupessy J. 29. Postema R. 8. Bacuna L. (C) 18. Maatta I. 17. Lien K.
Substitutes
33. Anyasi C. 21. de Koe M. 51. Henstra I. 49. Kooistra W. 42. Mercera T. 23. Minnema B. (G) 5. Poll T. 16. Reiziger D. (G) 36. Schaapman M. 3. Smand F. 6. Van Mullem J.	11. Abraham P. 45. Baron D. (G) 47. de Jonge T. 6. Duarte L. 22. Emeran N. 24. Musampa Nordin N. 14. Schreuders J. 40. Valente L. 25. van Bergen T. 19. Van Gelderen L. 9. van Veen K. 1. Verrips M. (G)
Coaches
de Jong H.	Lukkien D.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 2.

Cambuur has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Groningen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Groningen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Cambuur won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.10.23	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Cambuur - NAC Breda	2:3 ✺
06.10.23	Dordrecht - Cambuur	5:2 ✺
29.09.23	Cambuur - Jong PSV	3:4 ✺
22.09.23	Jong Utrecht - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.10.23	Groningen - Emmen	0:0 ✺
20.10.23	De Graafschap - Groningen	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	NAC Breda - Groningen	3:2 ✺
29.09.23	Groningen - Den Bosch	0:3 ✺
22.09.23	Helmond Sport - Groningen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
26.01.23	Groningen - Cambuur	0:1
Club Friendly
09.12.22	Groningen - Cambuur	1:1
Dutch Eredivisie
11.09.22	Cambuur - Groningen	0:1
15.05.22	Groningen - Cambuur	2:3
15.08.21	Cambuur - Groningen	1:2
Club Friendly
09.11.16	Groningen - Cambuur	2:2
Dutch Eredivisie
07.02.16	Groningen - Cambuur	2:0

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