Match Info

Date: 13 October 2020, Tuesday


	Go Ahead Eagles		De Graafschap

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2
	3.2	3.65	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.45	2.08
	3.19	3.67	2.27
	3	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.16	3.7	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	3.55 ↓ (3.84)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
29.5%

Draw
26.2%

De Graafschap
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

24.5%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

16.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.5%	9.1%	76.4%

Go Ahead Eagles - De Graafschap Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 8 - 14.5%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 42 - 76.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 65.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Recent matches Go Ahead is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

De Graafschap is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Go Ahead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

De Graafschap will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Go Ahead won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Go Ahead won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.10.20	MVV Maastricht - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
02.10.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Utrecht	2:3 ✺
27.09.20	Volendam - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0 ✺
18.09.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Ajax	0:3 ✺
11.09.20	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLTLW
- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.10.20	Excelsior - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	De Graafschap - NEC Nijmegen	2:0 ✺
21.09.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap	7:3 ✺
12.09.20	De Graafschap - Roda	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Eintracht Braunschweig - De Graafschap	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.03.20	Go Ahead Eagles - De Graafschap	1:2
01.12.19	De Graafschap - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
04.03.18	Go Ahead Eagles - De Graafschap	0:4
15.10.17	De Graafschap - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
Dutch Eredivisie
22.05.16	De Graafschap - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
19.05.16	Go Ahead Eagles - De Graafschap	4:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.05.15	Go Ahead Eagles - De Graafschap	0:1

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