Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 20

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Adelaarshorst (Deventer) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	18:45	Canal+, ESPN


	Go Ahead Eagles		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.75	2.5	Watch
	2.62	3.7	2.52
	2.66	3.75	2.56
	2.57	3.74	2.52	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.53	3.82	2.68	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.82)	3.68 ↑ (3.52)	2.53 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
36.7%

Draw
25.8%

Heerenveen
37.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

26.4%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

25.5%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	35%	25%

Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Heerenveen (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Heerenveen (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 25%). Heerenveen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Sampsted A. 25. van Zwam G. 4. Kramer J. (C) 26. Dirksen J. 21. Meulensteen M. 8. Linthorst E. 19. Slory J. 7. Breum J. 23. Baeten T. 16. Edvardsen V.	22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. 19. Zagaritis V. 16. Linday M. 6. van Overeem J. (C) 20. Trenskow J. 10. Meerveld R. 7. Rivera M. 18. Nordas L.
Substitutes
32. Boakye O. 24. Goudmijn K. 18. Margaret R. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 9. Sigurdarson S. I. 11. Sivertsen O. 17. Suray M. 10. Tengstedt S. 31. Tijman D. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 20. Waayers E.	35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 8. Brouwers L. 36. Courtens N. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 38. Mulder I. 44. Noppert A. (G) 11. Oyen L. 28. Petrov H. 26. van Axel Dongen A.
Coaches
Boel M.	Veldman R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Dirksen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', van Zwam G. ↓, Tengstedt S. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Dirksen J. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
55', Dirksen J. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Nordas L. ⚽,
64', Slory J. ↓, Sigurdarson S. I. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Nordas L. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
73', Linday M. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
77', Sampsted A. ↓, Waayers E. ↑,
77', Linthorst E. ↓, Salah Rahmouni Y. ↑,
77', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Trenskow J. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
89', Trenskow J. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Heerenveen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Go Ahead: Nauber G. (Broken Leg) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Weijenberg R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L. (Knee Injury) Willemsen M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Heerenveen	10	4	3	3	18:13	5	15
9	G.A. Eagles	10	3	5	2	23:23	0	14

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Heerenveen: 0.24% G.A. Eagles: 0.21%

Last Results with these Odds

Heerenveen - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.55%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
08.02.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
05.02.26	Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.26	Volendam - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Braga	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Nice - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTTL
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
07.02.26	Twente - Heerenveen	5:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.02.26	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.26	Heerenveen - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Heerenveen - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.26	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
30.08.25	Heerenveen - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2
14.05.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen	1:0
10.11.24	Heerenveen - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0
17.02.24	Heerenveen - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2
02.09.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen	3:2
28.05.23	Heerenveen - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0
15.10.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen	1:1

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