Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)

Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Kenya	Gotv
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN


	Heerenveen		Groningen

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.55
	2.03	3.45	3.69	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2.04	3.44	3.85	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.23)	3.4 ↓ (3.48)	3.69 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heerenveen
46.7%

Draw
27.7%

Groningen
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.2%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

27.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Heerenveen - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Groningen will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Groningen (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Heerenveen (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Groningen (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Groningen (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. 19. Zagaritis V. 16. Linday M. 6. van Overeem J. 20. Trenskow J. 8. Brouwers L. (C) 10. Meerveld R. 9. Vente D.	1. Vaessen E. (G) 5. Rente M. 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 18. Land T. 6. Resink S. (C) 14. Schreuders J. 17. van der Werff D. 10. Taha Y. 26. van Bergen T.
Substitutes
31. Bakker N. (G) 5. Bochniewicz P. 34. Bouw R. 36. Courtens N. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 44. Noppert A. (G) 18. Nordas L. 11. Oyen L. 7. Rivera M. 26. van Axel Dongen A.	8. de Jonge T. 57. Eggens N. 11. Emeran N. 7. Hernes T. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 27. Mendes R. 16. Mercera T. 34. Metu R. 2. Prins W. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 9. Willumsson B. 19. Zawada O.
Coaches
Veldman R.	Lukkien D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Kersten S. 🟨,
22', Kersten S. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
38', Vaessen E. ↓, Jurjus H. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Klaverboer B. (Own goal),
67', Schreuders J. 🟨,
73', Brouwers L. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
74', Land T. 🟨,
78', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
78', Taha Y. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
78', Land T. ↓, de Jonge T. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Blokzijl T. ⚽, van Bergen T. (A),
81', Zagaritis V. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
81', Braude O. ↓, van Axel Dongen A. ↑,
88', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 3.

Heerenveen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Groningen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Heerenveen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Heerenveen: Sejk V. (Inactive) Smans L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Groningen: Holder Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Heerenveen: Meerveld R. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Heerenveen
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.26	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Heerenveen - Feyenoord	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Hoffenheim - Heerenveen	Canceled ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.12.25	Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	Feyenoord - Heerenveen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 WT?WW
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
10.01.26	Groningen - NAC Breda	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Groningen - Bodø Glimt	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.12.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Groningen - Volendam	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Excelsior - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
16.08.25	Groningen - Heerenveen	2:1
25.01.25	Groningen - Heerenveen	1:0
22.09.24	Heerenveen - Groningen	2:1
19.03.23	Groningen - Heerenveen	0:2
22.01.23	Heerenveen - Groningen	3:1
10.04.22	Heerenveen - Groningen	3:1
12.09.21	Groningen - Heerenveen	1:1

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