Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nice		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.9	3.2
	1.87	3.9	3.75
	2.12	3.8	3.35
	1.54	4.25	5
	2.06	3.97	3.23	Watch
	2	3.6	3.2
	2.11	4.03	3.42
	2	4	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.6)	3.93 ↓ (4.42)	3.56 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
48.7%

Draw
24.4%

Go Ahead Eagles
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

21.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

20.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nice's form might have worsened.

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Go Ahead Eagles's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.9%	10.4%	41.7%

Nice - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 23 - 47.9%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 20 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 33.8% – 62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Go Ahead (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Nice (2.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Go Ahead (5.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Go Ahead (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dupe M. (C) 37. Peprah K. 28. Bah J. 36. Mantsounga B. 2. Abdi A. 24. Vanhoutte C. 99. Abdul Samed S. 25. Cho M. 20. Louchet T. 47. Gouveia T. 90. Kevin	22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 21. Meulensteen M. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 8. Linthorst E. 6. Twigt C. 11. Sivertsen O. 7. Breum J. 17. Suray M. 16. Edvardsen V.
Substitutes
32. Boudache K. 45. Brignone M. 92. Clauss J. 4. Dante 22. Ndombele T. 41. Pereira E. 8. Sanson M. 42. Telusson J. 70. Youst M. (G) 30. Zelazowski B. (G)	29. Adelgaard A. 32. Boakye O. 26. Dirksen J. 24. Goudmijn K. 30. Jansen S. (G) 18. Margaret R. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 27. Stokkers F. 25. van Zwam G. 33. Verdoni N. (G)
Coaches
Puel C.	Boel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Vanhoutte C. ⚽, Louchet T. (A),
27', Twigt C. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Gouveia T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
53', James D. 🟨,
57', Twigt C. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
57', Linthorst E. ↓, van Zwam G. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Gouveia T. ⚽, Cho M. (A),
62', Louchet T. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
62', Cho M. ↓, Clauss J. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Stokkers F. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
76', Gouveia T. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
76', Bah J. ↓, Dante ↑,
79', Sivertsen O. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
79', James D. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
81', Clauss J. 🟨,
83', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,
90+2', Deijl M. ↓, Dirksen J. ↑,
90+5', Margaret R. 🟨,

Preview

Nice has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Go Ahead is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nice could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Mendy A. (Yellow Cards) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Wahi E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Go Ahead: Baeten T. (Inactive) Nauber G. (Broken Leg) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Slory J. (Inactive) Weijenberg R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Bard M. (Groin Injury) Diop S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Go Ahead: Tengstedt S. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
17.01.26	Toulouse - Nice	5:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Nice - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Nice - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Lens - Nice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.26	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	3:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	Roda - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTTW

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