Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 22

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra


	Twente		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	5	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4.33
	1.6	4.45	4.95
	1.6	4.45	5.28
	1.59	4.43	5.05	Watch
	1.57	4	4.8
	1.61	4.32	5.24	Watch
	1.54	4.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)	4.29 ↑ (3.67)	5 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
59%

Draw
22.1%

Heerenveen
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.

Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	33.3%	9.5%

Twente - Heerenveen Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Twente (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Twente will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 23. Lemkin S. 3. Propper R. (C) 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. van den Belt T. 11. Rots D. 14. Hlynsson K. 27. Orjasaeter S. 10. Lammers S.	22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. 19. Zagaritis V. 16. Linday M. 6. van Overeem J. 20. Trenskow J. 8. Brouwers L. (C) 10. Meerveld R. 26. van Axel Dongen A.
Substitutes
38. Bruns M. 36. Groenewald N. 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 43. Nijstad R. 30. Panneflek O. 12. Peixoto G. 7. Pjaca M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 32. Verschueren A. 42. Weidmann D.	35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 36. Courtens N. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 38. Mulder I. 44. Noppert A. (G) 18. Nordas L. 11. Oyen L. 28. Petrov H. 7. Rivera M.
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Veldman R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Zerrouki R. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Rots M. ⚽,
44', Rots D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', van Axel Dongen A. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
52', Willemsen M. 🟨,
55', 3 - 0, Rots D. ⚽, Lammers S. (A),
61', Trenskow J. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
61', Kersten S. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
63', 4 - 0, Hlynsson K. ⚽,
69', Zerrouki R. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
69', Propper R. ↓, Nijstad R. ↑,
69', Brouwers L. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
75', Braude O. 🟨,
75', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
79', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
82', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
82', Rots D. ↓, Groenewald N. ↑,
84', 5 - 0, Lammers S. ⚽, Verschueren A. (A),
86', Rivera M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Heerenveen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Twente has had a series of away games.

Recently, Heerenveen has had a series of home games.

In this match, Twente is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Twente: Booth T. (Injury) Hilgers M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Vennegoor of Hesselink L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Heerenveen: Nordas L. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.02.26	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	2:1 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
30.01.26	NAC Breda - Twente	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Twente - Excelsior	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Heracles Almelo - Twente	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
13.01.26	Utrecht - Twente	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWW
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.02.26	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.26	Heerenveen - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Heerenveen - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.26	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Heerenveen - Feyenoord	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
24.08.25	Heerenveen - Twente	1:2
09.02.25	Heerenveen - Twente	3:3
17.09.24	Twente - Heerenveen	2:0
03.04.24	Heerenveen - Twente	3:3
30.09.23	Twente - Heerenveen	1:0
04.06.23	Twente - Heerenveen	4:0
01.06.23	Heerenveen - Twente	1:2

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