Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: De Adelaarshorst (Deventer)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport OTT 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 7
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 12
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, WOW
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 2
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN Connect
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 14
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 16
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Go Ahead Eagles		Braga

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.6
	5.5	4.35	1.6
	5.36	4.37	1.6
	5.17	4.35	1.6	Watch
	5	4	1.57
	5.57	4.44	1.64
	5.33	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (3.14)	4.26 ↑ (3.42)	1.6 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
18.1%

Draw
22.4%

Braga
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

28%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

27.5%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Go Ahead Eagles's form might have worsened.

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	9%	86.6%

Go Ahead Eagles - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 3 - 4.5%). Braga will win (votes: 57 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 78.1% – 94.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Braga (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Braga (1.82) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. De Busser J. (G) 29. Adelgaard A. 25. van Zwam G. 4. Kramer J. (C) 5. James D. 21. Meulensteen M. 8. Linthorst E. 11. Sivertsen O. 7. Breum J. 17. Suray M. 16. Edvardsen V.	1. Hornicek L. (G) 2. Gomez V. 14. Lagerbielke G. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 5. Lelo L. 29. Gorby 6. Vitor Carvalho 21. Horta R. (C) 27. Grillitsch F. 10. Zalazar R. 39. Navarro F.
Substitutes
32. Boakye O. 26. Dirksen J. 24. Goudmijn K. 30. Jansen S. (G) 18. Margaret R. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 27. Stokkers F. 42. Tijman D. 6. Twigt C. 33. Verdoni N. (G)	72. Aragao J. 36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 41. da Rocha Y. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 92. Gil A. 62. Matos N. 8. Moutinho J. 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G) 18. Victor P. 95. Vidigal S.
Coaches
Boel M.	Vicens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Oliveira P. ↑,
52', Gomez V. 🟨,
54', Kramer J. 🟨,
62', Zalazar R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
73', Edvardsen V. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
73', Sivertsen O. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
75', Navarro F. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
90', Horta R. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
90', Grillitsch F. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
90', James D. ↓, Dirksen J. ↑,
90', Breum J. ↓, Salah Rahmouni Y. ↑,
90+4', Meulensteen M. ↓, Boakye O. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Braga is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Go Ahead: Baeten T. (Inactive) Nauber G. (Broken Leg) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Slory J. (Inactive) Tengstedt S. (Injury) Weijenberg R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Braga: El Ouazzani A. (Foot Injury) Martinez G. (Yellow Cards) Merheg S. J. (Inactive) Niakate S. (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Nice - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.26	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	3:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWTT
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
25.01.26	Braga - Alverca	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Braga - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.01.26	Tondela - Braga	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.26	Fafe - Braga	2:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
10.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Braga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL

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