Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 3

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: De Adelaarshorst (Deventer)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra


	Go Ahead Eagles		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.5	Watch
	1.71	4	4.5
	1.7	4.15	4.45	Watch
	1.73	4.25	4.66
	1.68	4.17	4.63	Watch
	1.7	4.2	4.2
	1.73	4.15	4.34	Watch
	1.7	4.15	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)	4.13 ↑ (3.93)	4.47 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
55.7%

Draw
23%

Waalwijk
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.1%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

23.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	30.8%	0%

Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Plogmann L. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 3. Nauber G. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 21. Llansana E. 6. Twigt C. 11. Adekanye B. 10. Tengstedt S. 7. Breum J. 27. Stokkers F.	1. Houwen J. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 17. van Eijma R. 3. Van den Buijs D. 28. Meijers A. (C) 24. Roemeratoe G. 6. Oukili Y. 7. Cleonise D. 23. van der Venne R. 14. Lokesa C. 19. Margaret R.
Substitutes
29. Adelgaard A. 25. Amofa J. 19. Antman O. 9. Baeten T. 22. De Busser J. (G) 16. Edvardsen V. 24. Everink L. 30. Jansen S. (G) 8. Linthorst E. 28. Saathof P. 17. Suray M. 15. Weijenberg R.	5. Familia-Castillo J. 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 10. Niemeijer R. 22. van de Loo T. 4. Van Gelderen L. 21. van Osch Y. (G) 8. Vroegh P. 30. Weidmann D.
Coaches
Simonis P.	Fraser H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Adekanye B. ⚽, Stokkers F. (A),
11', Oukili Y. 🟨,
17', Oukili Y. 🟨,
30', van der Venne R. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
32', Kramer J. 🟨,
41', James D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Nauber G. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Stokkers F. ⚽,
61', Cleonise D. ↓, Familia-Castillo J. ↑,
63', Stokkers F. ↓, Edvardsen V. ↑,
63', Twigt C. ↓, Suray M. ↑,
63', Adekanye B. ↓, Antman O. ↑,
76', Llansana E. ↓, Linthorst E. ↑,
81', Roemeratoe G. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
81', Lokesa C. ↓, Vroegh P. ↑,
81', Meijers A. ↓, Niemeijer R. ↑,
85', Tengstedt S. ↓, Weijenberg R. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Go Ahead won 3.

Go Ahead is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Waalwijk has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Waalwijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Go Ahead is a favorite.

There will not play in Waalwijk: Zawada O. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Go Ahead: Dirksen J. (Knee Injury) Edvardsen O. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Go Ahead won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Go Ahead won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
18.08.24	Willem II - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Fortuna Sittard	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Brann - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Brann	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.24	Genk - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTW
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie
17.08.24	Waalwijk - Groningen	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	PSV Eindhoven - Waalwijk	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Almere City - Waalwijk	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Waalwijk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:4 ✺
06.07.24	Waalwijk - Den Bosch	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	1:0
11.11.23	Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1
19.04.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	3:2
01.02.23	Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1
15.01.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	0:2
02.10.21	Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
Club Friendly
03.07.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	1:1

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