Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 26

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Goiás		Bahia

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3.1
	2.45	3.1	3	Watch
	2.47	3.14	3.29
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.33	3.22	3.1	Watch
	2.42	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.27)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	3.12 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
39.5%

Draw
30.2%

Bahia
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29.9%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	45.5%	9.1%

Goiás - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 13. Bruno Santos 3. Lucas Halter 19. Bruno Melo 66. Hugo 60. Guilherme 5. Guzzo R. 12. Willian Oliveira 10. Palacios J. 45. Joao Magno 70. Anderson Oliveira	22. Marcos Felipe (G) 2. Gilberto 3. Gabriel Xavier 31. Vitor Hugo 38. Candido C. 16. Thaciano (C) 20. Yago Felipe 5. Rezende 8. Cauly 9. Everaldo 7. Ademir
Substitutes
27. Alesson 22. Apodi 11. Diego Goncalves 43. Edu 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 9. Matheus Babi 8. Meritao H. 55. Oyama L. 95. Rodrigues Adelino dos Santos V. 6. Sander 4. Sidimar 7. Vinicius	10. Biel 40. Cicinho 1. Danilo Fernandes (G) 33. David Duarte 19. Lucas Mugni 46. Luciano Juba 79. Matheus Bahia 26. Nicolas Acevedo 11. Ratao R. 34. Raul Gustavo 21. Vinicius Mingotti 29. Vitor Jacare
Coaches
Evangelista A.	Rogerio Ceni

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 1.

Recent matches Goiás is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bahia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Bahia: Cauly (Injury) Leo Cittadini (Injury)

There are questionable in Goiás: Gabriel Novaes (Injury) Sander (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Goiás won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
02.10.23	Botafogo RJ - Goiás	1:1 ✺
20.09.23	Goiás - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
15.09.23	Palmeiras - Goiás	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Goiás - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Corinthians - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTLTT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
30.09.23	Flamengo - Bahia	1:0 ✺
18.09.23	Bahia - Santos	1:2 ✺
14.09.23	Coritiba - Bahia	2:4 ✺
03.09.23	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Bahia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
20.05.23	Bahia - Goiás	1:1
06.02.21	Bahia - Goiás	3:3
16.10.20	Goiás - Bahia	1:1
24.11.19	Goiás - Bahia	4:3
18.08.19	Bahia - Goiás	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
17.09.16	Bahia - Goiás	4:2
07.06.16	Goiás - Bahia	0:2

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