The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Goiás 26.1%
Draw 28.6%
Fluminense 45.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.3%
27.9%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
24.4%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.1%
21.1%
36.8%
Goiás - Fluminense Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 19.9% – 64.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 13. Bruno Santos 3. Lucas Halter 19. Bruno Melo 6. Sander 22. Apodi 12. Willian Oliveira 40. Everton Morelli 5. Ze Ricardo 10. Palacios J. 17. Matheus Peixoto
1. Fabio (G) 23. Guga 33. Nino (C) 26. Manoel 20. Gabriel Pirani 7. Andre 8. Martinelli L. M. 45. Lima 21. Jhon Arias 99. Lele 14. Cano G.
Substitutes
27. Alesson 11. Diego Goncalves 43. Edu 8. Fellipe Bastos 99. Gabriel Novaes 60. Guilherme 66. Hugo 77. Jhonny Lucas 79. Lucas Emmanuel 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 30. Matheus Santos 4. Sidimar
18. Alan 19. Alexandre Jesus 44. David Braz 32. de Lima I. R. 34. Edinho 40. Freitas 37. Giovanni 9. John Kennedy 11. Keno 53. Mendes da Silva J. H. 22. Pedro Rangel (G) 29. Thiago Santos
Coaches
Emerson Avila
Diniz F.
Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
Goiás has the most likely position - 20 (20.78%), project points - 36, currently - 7, a good chance of relegated (63%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fluminense has the most likely position - 5 (9.81%), project points - 60, currently - 16, a very small chance of relegated (2%), a very small chance of win league (5%).
This event has quality46, importance32, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 1.
Recent matches Goiás is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fluminense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Goiás could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Goiás have a series of home games.
Recently Fluminense have a series of guest games.
Fluminense will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Fluminense: Alexsander
(Injury)
Gustavo Apis
(Injury)
Jorge
(Injury)
Keno
(Injury)
Marcelo
(Injury)
da Silva Liberato M.
(Injury)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Goiás won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 17-32.
Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-14.
Portugal
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Tadeu (C) 
Palacios J. 
Jhon Arias 
Alan 
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