Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN


	Goiás		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.9
	1.93	3.4	4
	1.99	3.23	4.29
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	1.93	3.36	4.1	Watch
	1.97	3.15	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.78)	3.24 ↓ (3.6)	4.02 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
47.8%

Draw
28.9%

Universitario de Deportes
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

27.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goiás, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Goiás - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Goiás is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universitario de Deportes is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Goiás could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Goiás is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Goiás won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
20.05.23	Bahia - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
17.05.23	Paysandu - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.05.23	Goiás - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Flamengo - Goiás	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Goiás - Palmeiras	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWLL
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
19.05.23	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad César Vallejo	4:0 ✺
14.05.23	Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Universitario de Deportes - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
29.04.23	Sport Boys - Universitario de Deportes	0:3 ✺
24.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Goiás	2:2

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