Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Independiente Santa Fe		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	5	Watch
	1.73	3.4	5
	1.7	3.6	5.1
	1.7	3.7	5.25
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.69	3.64	5.15	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	3.56 ↑ (3.41)	5.04 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
55.1%

Draw
26.3%

Goiás
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.3%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	22.7%	9.1%

Independiente Santa Fe - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Goiás will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Espitia J. (G) 27. Viafara F. 3. Aja J. 4. Ramirez Pisciotti D. 30. Mosquera D. 8. Barboza J. 5. Rojas I. 80. Marrugo C. 9. De La Rosa W. 11. Rodallega H. 23. Sambueza F.	23. Tadeu (C) 13. Bruno Santos 3. Lucas Halter 19. Bruno Melo 66. Hugo 11. Diego Goncalves 60. Guilherme 5. Ze Ricardo 12. Willian Oliveira 30. Matheus Santos 10. Palacios J.
Substitutes
18. Aristizabal Juan 21. Delgado F. 10. Enamorado J. 32. Garcia Moreno D. 28. Mantilla Camargo K. A. 29. Millan J. 6. Moreno C. 16. Palacio D. 20. Rivera H. 17. Roa Juan R. 33. Rodriguez O. (G) 31. Torres J.	27. Alesson 22. Apodi 43. Edu 40. Everton Morelli 8. Fellipe Bastos 77. Jhonny Lucas 79. Lucas Emmanuel 2. Maguinho 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 17. Matheus Peixoto 6. Sander 4. Sidimar
Coaches
Bedoya G.	Evangelista A.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Santa Fe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Fe is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Copa Sudamericana
08.06.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
23.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.05.23	Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
14.05.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Huila	5:0 ✺
11.05.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWL
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
25.06.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Goiás	2:0 ✺
22.06.23	Vasco da Gama - Goiás	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Goiás - Fluminense	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.06.23	Goiás - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.06.23	Goiás - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Goiás - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0

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