Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 7

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)


	Bahia		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5	Watch
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.68	3.75	5.2	Watch
	1.74	3.78	5.29
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.7	3.8	4.85	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.76 ↑ (3.58)	5.02 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
55.9%

Draw
25.2%

Goiás
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.1%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Bahia - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Goiás will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).

Bahia has the most likely position - 17 (9.04%), project points - 45, currently - 6, a chance of relegated (30%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Goiás has the most likely position - 19 (13.83%), project points - 39, currently - 6, a chance of relegated (50%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 43, importance 44, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Bahia is a favorite.

There will not play in Bahia: Danilo Fernandes (Injury) Marcos Victor (Injury) Raul Gustavo (Injury)

There will not play in Goiás: Gabriel Novaes (Injury) Luiz Filipe (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bahia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Copa do Brasil
17.05.23	Santos - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
13.05.23	Bahia - Flamengo	2:3 ✺
10.05.23	Santos - Bahia	3:0 ✺
07.05.23	Bahia - Coritiba	3:1 ✺
01.05.23	Vasco da Gama - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLLWW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Copa Verde
17.05.23	Paysandu - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.05.23	Goiás - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Flamengo - Goiás	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Goiás - Palmeiras	0:5 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
06.02.21	Bahia - Goiás	3:3
16.10.20	Goiás - Bahia	1:1
24.11.19	Goiás - Bahia	4:3
18.08.19	Bahia - Goiás	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
17.09.16	Bahia - Goiás	4:2
07.06.16	Goiás - Bahia	0:2
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.14	Goiás - Bahia	3:0

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