Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Grêmio		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	8	Watch
	1.42	4	9
	1.4	4.1	9	Watch
	1.41	4.1	7.6
	1.4	4.72	8.92
	1.38	4.33	9.5
	1.38	4.4	10.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	4.26 ↓ (4.51)	8.9 ↓ (9.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
67.3%

Draw
22.1%

Guaraní Asuncion
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

20.7%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

9.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-35%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grêmio - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Grêmio in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grêmio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grêmio is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Grêmio to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
30.11.20	Grêmio - Goiás	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.11.20	Corinthians - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.11.20	Grêmio - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.11.20	Grêmio - Ceará	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
01.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
26.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Grêmio	0:2
27.04.17	Grêmio - Guaraní Asuncion	4:1
20.04.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Grêmio	1:1

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