Match Info

Date: 26 November 2020, Thursday


	Guaraní Asuncion		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.83	Watch
	3.7	3.3	2
	4	3.25	1.92	Watch
	4.3	3.1	1.92
	4.42	3.37	1.95
	4.33	3.2	1.95
	4.4	3.32	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.49)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	1.93 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
22.7%

Draw
28.6%

Grêmio
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.5%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

21.9%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guaraní Asuncion - Grêmio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Guaraní is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grêmio in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Grêmio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.11.20	12 de Octubre - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
20.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
12.11.20	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWT
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
22.11.20	Corinthians - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.11.20	Grêmio - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.11.20	Grêmio - Ceará	4:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.11.20	Cuiabá - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.11.20	Fluminense - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
27.04.17	Grêmio - Guaraní Asuncion	4:1
20.04.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Grêmio	1:1

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